2 interesting spots

Often when a spot is "tough" at the tables, it becomes a whole lot clearer (normally "well THAT was retarded...") a couple hours later when you have more than 30 seconds to figure it out. There aren't that many hands which I feel are actually very close either way, but they do come up, and I'd really appreciate some input on these hands. I've included my reads/thoughts in blue.

Having read Poker Meister's blog, I really like his HH posts since they generate a lot of good discussion, so I might start doing this more often if it works out well.

Hand #1

Villain is relatively unknown, I think he was roughly 15/15 over about 12 hands so probably a reg.

Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: $264.05
Hero (SB): $183.40
BB: $100.20
UTG: $215.65
CO: $104.50

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is SB with A Q
1 fold, CO raises to $3, 1 fold, Hero calls $2.50, 1 fold

Without knowing any more about him I think 3betting is a little thin.

Flop: ($7.00) 3 2 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $4, Hero raises to $13, CO calls $9

Hard flop to hit, he is probably cbetting all his air and I have 2 overs so I think it's a great spot to c/r. Again, he's unknown so I don't expect him to get super tricky and float or 3b with air that often.

Turn: ($33.00) Q (2 players)
Hero ???

So here's the tough bit imo - we hit our gin card on the turn, and my first thoughts were to value bet and shove most rivers since we're so polarised and he often has 9x/TT/JJ. On the flip side, he's an unknown reg and I don't know how thin he likes to bluffcatch, so he might end up folding those hands a lot. He can also have QQ+ and sets, and if he does occasionally have a float, he might bet if we check to him.

Hand #2

CO is 29/22 with 10% 3bet over 115 hands, he has raised 2 out of 6 flops so far.

BTN is 29/24 with 7% 3bet.

SB is a fairly straightforward 22/18 with 7% 3bet.

BB is a weak player, 29/10.

Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $100.00
BTN: $172.20
SB: $140.00
BB: $105.50
Hero (UTG): $213.45

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is UTG with 7 A
Hero raises to $3, CO calls $3, 1 fold, SB calls $2.50, 1 fold

We are 5-handed with a weak player in the BB so I think opening this hand UTG is fine. The CO is a pretty aggressive 3bettor so it's perhaps a bit thin.

Flop: ($10.00) T 7 3 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $7, CO raises to $23, SB folds, Hero ???

I bet this flop with the intention of barreling off a decent amount. While we have a bit of SD value, it's going to be hard to get value from a worse hand on later streets anyway, and our hand is really vulnerable so I think betting and using our pair as semibluffing equity is a much better option than checking.

When he raises I think it's close between a fold and a shove (I don't like calling since our hand is so vulnerable and we're OOP). He can definitely be raising this flop with a lot of hands, like a BDFD, overcards, 98, etc. as well as sets, but we have a blocker to 77 and he probably flats with sets on this board pretty often, especially because it's a good board for me to barrel. I also think he 3bets QQ+ and maybe JJ most of the time preflop, given his high 3b%, though it's possible he could flat expecting BTN or SB to squeeze.

I guess the main question is, how often does he raise a hand like AT/KT/JJ for value here? I don't think it's good without history, but given how aggro he is, he may well do it anyway. Also of note is that we are 3way, though he may think that's a good reason to bluff since it looks stronger.

If we have, say 15% equity when called, we are effectively risking $60 to win $40 so he has to fold 60% if we shove. Normally giving someone a 60% bluffing range is pretty optimistic but here I think it's very close.

If you think either of these hands is actually a no-brainer either way, please let me know!

- HappyPixel